Chile national football team
Friendlies 1
Feb 8, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Panama national football team

Chile
6 - 1
Panama

Guerra (2', 25', 42'), Uribe (5'), Cepeda (52'), Patricio Pino Briceno (81')
Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios (28'), Cuevas (73'), Escobar (76'), Wiemberg (80'), Diaz (86')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Waterman Ruiz (30' pen.)
Perdomo (25'), Janpol Morales Napa (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Chile and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
Last Game: Chile 4-2 Venezuela
Wednesday, November 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Uruguay12820
4Colombia12519
5Brazil12618
6Paraguay12117
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile12-119
10Peru12-127

Panama

All competitions
Last Game: Panama 2-2 Costa Rica
Tuesday, November 19 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Panama had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.

Result
ChileDrawPanama
46.82% (0.363 0.36)25.53% (-0.209 -0.21)27.65% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.46% (0.538 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.04% (0.757 0.76)50.96% (-0.753 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.17% (0.661 0.66)72.83% (-0.657 -0.66)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (0.48 0.48)21.77% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.04% (0.724 0.72)54.95% (-0.722 -0.72)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.06% (0.28 0.28)32.94% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.48% (0.308 0.31)69.52% (-0.306 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Chile 46.82%
    Panama 27.65%
    Draw 25.53%
ChileDrawPanama
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 27.65%

How you voted: Chile vs Panama

Chile
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Panama
0.0%
16
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!