Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Panama

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Panama 2-1 USA
Thursday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa America

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	2	7	6
2	USA	2	1	3
3	Panama	2	-1	3
4	Bolivia	2	-7	0

Being without Carrasquilla will not make it easy, but we still believe there are enough quality Panamanian players capable of penetrating a weak and psychologically beaten-up Bolivian backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Bolivia	Draw	Panama
13.5% ( -0.37)	19.42% ( -0.01)	67.08% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 49.42% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.31% (

-0.81)

43.69% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.92% (

-0.79)

66.08% (

0.79)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.2% (

-1.06)

43.79% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.05% (

-0.88)

79.95% (

0.88)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.92% (

-0.14)

12.08% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.39% (

-0.28)

37.61% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Bolivia 13.5%

Panama 67.07%

Draw 19.42%

Bolivia	Draw	Panama
1-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.36% Total : 13.5%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.42%	0-2 @ 11.81% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 8.33% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 6.88% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 4.4% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.36% Total : 67.07%