Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 23, 2024 at 11pm UK

AT&T Stadium

USA
vs.
Bolivia

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa America clash between USA and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

Last Game: USA 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, June 13 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bolivia	0	0	0
2	Uruguay	0	0	0
3	Panama	0	0	0
4	USA	0	0	0

Bolivia

All competitions

Last Game: Colombia 3-0 Bolivia
Saturday, June 15 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

As inconsistent as the Americans have been throughout the year, there are far too many holes in the Bolivian backline and a lack of cohesion among the South Americans, which is why we believe the hosts will claim a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a USA win with a probability of 71.29%. A draw has a probability of 18.5% and a win for Bolivia has a probability of 10.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.29%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Bolivia win it is 0-1 (4.11%).

Result
USA	Draw	Bolivia
71.29% ( -0.07)	18.48% ( 0.03)	10.24% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 42.15% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.22% (

-0.05)

47.78% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.03% (

-0.05)

69.97% (

0.04)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

-0.03)

12.1% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.35% (

-0.07)

37.65% (

0.07)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.95% (

0.04)

52.04% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.97% (

0.03)

86.03% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

USA 71.27%

Bolivia 10.24%

Draw 18.48%

USA	Draw	Bolivia
2-0 @ 14.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 13.29% 3-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 71.27%	1-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3% ( 0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 18.48%	0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.24%