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World Cup

Chile national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Argentina national football team

Chile
vs.
Argentina

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Argentina could line up for their World Cup qualifier away to Chile in Santiago on Thursday night.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Ecuador
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina141831
2Ecuador14826
3Uruguay14721
4Brazil14421
5Paraguay14221
6Colombia14420
7Venezuela14-415
8Bolivia14-1614
9Peru14-1110
10Chile14-1210

Argentina

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina 4-1 Brazil
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying StandingsPGDPTS
1Argentina141831
2Ecuador14826
3Uruguay14721
4Brazil14421
5Paraguay14221
6Colombia14420
7Venezuela14-415
8Bolivia14-1614
9Peru14-1110
10Chile14-1210

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Argentina win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Chile has a probability of 34.64% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Chile win is 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.96%).

Result
ChileDrawArgentina
34.64% (0.506 0.51)27.38% (0.144 0.14)37.97% (-0.652 -0.65)
Both teams to score 49.6% (-0.377 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.02% (-0.506 -0.51)55.98% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93% (-0.414 -0.41)77.07% (0.413 0.41)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (0.074000000000012 0.07)30.59% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.088000000000001 0.09)66.82% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (-0.619 -0.62)28.55% (0.619 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (-0.785 -0.79)64.33% (0.784 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Chile 34.64%
    Argentina 37.96%
    Draw 27.38%
ChileDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 34.64%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.73% (0.168 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 10.94% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.86% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 37.96%

Who will win Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Argentina?

Chile
Draw
Argentina
Chile
5.1%
Draw
7.7%
Argentina
87.2%
39
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
3-0
Chile
Mac Allister (48'), Alvarez (84'), Dybala (90+1')
De Paul (30'), Lo Celso (71')

Nunez (39'), Davila (40'), Diaz (65')
> Preview
Jun 26, 2024 2am
Group Stage
Chile
0-1
Argentina

Suazo (55'), Isla (82')
Martinez (88')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2022 12.15am
Group Stage
Chile
1-2
Argentina
Brereton Diaz (21')
Di Maria (10'), Martinez (34')
> Preview
Jun 14, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Argentina
1-1
Chile
Messi (33')
Martinez (30'), Martinez (62')
Vargas (57')
Isla (25'), Pulgar (32'), Vidal (35')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-1
Chile
Martinez (43'), Romero (52')
Galdames (2'), Aranguiz (68')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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