World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Chile0 - 0Ecuador
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Chile
Thursday, March 20 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Thursday, March 20 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Venezuela
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Chile 0-0 Ecuador
Chile must win their final three home games if they are to remain in contention for the playoff spot, but this will be a devilishly difficult assignment against an Ecuador side that very few teams have managed to beat of late. A superior goal difference and a margin of nine points over Bolivia means Ecuador will certainly be breathing a lot easier now, but they will still want to finish strongly, and they should extend their impressive unbeaten run. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 62.79%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Ecuador |
62.79% ( -2.72) | 21.97% ( 0.88) | 15.24% ( 1.84) |
| Both teams to score 45.83% ( 1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
