The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 19.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Ecuador |
| 57.52% | 23.27% | 19.22% |
| Both teams to score 49.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
