World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage | 2nd Leg

Jun 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Roi Baudouin

Belgium
4 - 3
Wales

Lukaku (15' pen.), Tielemans (19'), Doku (27'), De Bruyne (88')
De Cuyper (31'), Trossard (41'), Garcia (85'), Raskin (90')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Wilson (45+7' pen.), Thomas (51'), Johnson (69')
Ampadu (17'), Mepham (79'), Wilson (82')

Reaction

Wales head coach Craig Bellamy on November 5, 2024

Belgium 4-3 Wales: Craig Bellamy refuses pity after agonisingly World Cup qualifier defeat in Brussels

Craig Bellamy says he will take pride from the character that Wales shown in a 4-3 defeat to Belgium in World Cup qualifying on Monday night.

22:57

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Belgium and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Wales could line up for Monday's World Cup qualifying clash with Belgium.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions

Last Game: Belgium 3-0 Ukraine
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: N. Macedonia vs. Belgium
Friday, June 6 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	6	6	13
2	Italy	6	5	13
3	Belgium	6	-3	4
4	Israel	6	-8	4

Wales

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-1 Wales
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Next Game: Wales vs. Liechtenstein
Friday, June 6 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belgium win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw has a probability of 22.8% and a win for Wales has a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Wales win it is 0-1 (5.99%).

Result
Belgium	Draw	Wales
58.63% ( -1.87)	22.8% ( 0.47)	18.58% ( 1.41)

Both teams to score 49.98% (

1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.16% (

0.24)

48.84% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.06% (

0.22)

70.94% (

-0.21)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.66% (

-0.55)

16.34% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.06% (

-1.01)

45.94% (

1.01)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.74% (

1.81)

40.26% (

-1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.11% (

1.61)

76.89% (

-1.61)

Score Analysis

Belgium 58.62%

Wales 18.58%

Draw 22.79%

Belgium	Draw	Wales
1-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.05% Total : 58.62%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.79%	0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.08% Total : 18.58%