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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints
2 - 1
Caernarfon
Williams (78'), Marriott (81')
Roberts (14'), Davies (45+1'), Davies (45+1'), Williams (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lloyd (13')
Wynne (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-1 New Saints
Saturday, December 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 92.12%. A draw had a probability of 5.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 2.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.49%) and 5-0 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.95%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (0.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
92.12% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03) 5.22% (0.018 0.02) 2.66% (0.0091000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.23% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
89.5% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)10.5% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
76.85% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)23.14% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.78% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
93.42% (-0.029999999999987 -0.03)6.58% (0.0281 0.03)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.92% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.65% (0.0010000000000012 0)79.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 92.12%
    Caernarfon Town 2.66%
    Draw 5.22%
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
4-0 @ 8.25% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 6.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.31% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
6-0 @ 5.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
6-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.29% (0.012 0.01)
7-0 @ 3.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 2.31% (0.01 0.01)
6-2 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
8-0 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
8-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
7-2 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
9-0 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 6.38%
Total : 92.12%
1-1 @ 1.95% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 1.81% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 5.22%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 2.66%

Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
1-3
New Saints
Davies (6')
Clark (58'), Williams (63'), Brobbel (76')
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
New Saints
3-0
Caernarfon
Brobbel (16'), Wilson (42'), Dafydd (90+3')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
3-1
Caernarfon
McManus (2', 88'), Brobbel (42')
Dafydd (90+4')
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Caernarfon
0-4
New Saints

Beaumont (26')
McManus (28'), Brobbel (56'), Cieslewicz (80'), Williams (86')
Marriott (61')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-428
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813

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