Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 70.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 10.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.8%) and 0-3 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
