Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 46.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
