Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Guabira had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Guabira win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
