Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
