Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 42.95%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 27.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
