Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 65.61%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 12.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.31%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
