Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.36%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.77%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.
