

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 46% ( | 24.48% ( | 29.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% ( | 45.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( | 67.73% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( | 19.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.07% ( | 51.93% ( |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( | 28.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.47% ( | 64.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 57 |
| 2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 54 |
| 3 | Livingston | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 53 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 33 |
| 6 | Raith Rovers | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 33 |
| 7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
| 8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
| 9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 27 |
| 10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 17 |
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