Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.