Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 60.33%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 21.03% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.