Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 85.9%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 4.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 4-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (1.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion Under-21s would win this match.
-0.06) 
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