Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.
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