Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 9.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 3-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
