New York City
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 29, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Houston Dynamo

NY City
0 - 3
Houston


Gray (65'), Gray (65'), O'Neill (85'), O'Neill (85'), Cavallo (90+2'), Cavallo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Haak (25' og., 25' og.), Segal (50', 50', 90+4' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Duenas (35'), Duenas (35'), de Andrade Vieira (63'), de Andrade Vieira (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: NY City 3-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 25 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-3 Houston
Sunday, May 25 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawHouston Dynamo
39.32% (-0.572 -0.57)23.89% (-0.044 -0.04)36.78% (0.613 0.61)
Both teams to score 61.83% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61% (0.265 0.27)40.38% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24% (0.275 0.27)62.76% (-0.276 -0.28)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (-0.157 -0.16)20.74% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (-0.243 -0.24)53.37% (0.242 0.24)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (0.434 0.43)21.99% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (0.65600000000001 0.66)55.29% (-0.65900000000001 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 39.32%
    Houston Dynamo 36.78%
    Draw 23.89%
New York City FCDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.17% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5.64% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 39.32%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.16% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 1% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.78%

How you voted: NY City vs Houston

New York City FC
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Houston Dynamo
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2023 12.30am
Houston
1-0
NY City
Bassi (55' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 16, 2020 1.30am
Gameweek 36
Houston
P-P
NY City
Aug 9, 2019 12am
Gameweek 29
NY City
3-2
Houston
Mitrita (16'), Castellanos (83', 93')
Miller (42'), Ring (45'), Castellanos (94')
David Cabezas (26'), Manotas (77')
Rodriguez (38'), Struna (62'), Lundqvist (82'), Vera (86')
Quioto (29')
May 26, 2018 1.55am
Gameweek 14
Houston
3-1
NY City
Fuenmayor (21'), Martinez (69'), Elis (80')
Fuenmayor (16'), Elis (80')
Villa (6')
Villa (36'), Callens (89')
Sep 23, 2017 8pm
NY City
1-1
Houston
Moralez (6')
Manotas (16')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!