Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.