Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.