Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 33.89% ( | 25.44% ( | 40.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( | 48.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( | 70.19% ( |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( | 27.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.44% ( | 62.56% ( |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( | 23.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.59% ( | 57.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.89% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 2-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Bromley | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Barnet | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 36 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 35 |
| 8 | Rochdale | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 33 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 25 |
| 17 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 24 |
| 18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 24 |
| 19 | York City | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Woking | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 22 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 22 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 21 |
| 23 | Fylde | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 18 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 16 |
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