Minnesota United
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 25, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
Austin FC

Minnesota Utd
1 - 1
Austin

Boxall (16', 16')
Markanich (33'), Markanich (33'), Pereyra (86'), Pereyra (86')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Kolmanic (27', 27')
Obrian (88'), Gallagher (88'), Obrian (88'), Gallagher (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Minnesota United and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-0 Vancouver
Sunday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawAustin FC
60.42% (-0.272 -0.27)21.94% (0.056000000000001 0.06)17.64% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 50.94% (0.258 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.33% (0.123 0.12)46.67% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (0.116 0.12)68.94% (-0.116 -0.12)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)15% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.54% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)43.46% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.93% (0.334 0.33)40.07% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.28% (0.303 0.3)76.71% (-0.304 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 60.41%
    Austin FC 17.64%
    Draw 21.93%
Minnesota UnitedDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 11.4% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 10.81% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.84% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 60.41%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.93%
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.77% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 17.64%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Austin

Minnesota United
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Austin FC
0.0%
6
Head to Head
May 4, 2025 1.30am
Jun 23, 2024 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
0-1
Austin

Tapias (12'), Dotson (25'), Lod (90+2')
Dotson (26')
Rubio (31')
Obrian (49'), Fodrey (59')
Feb 25, 2024 1.30am
Austin
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Biro (90+4')
Valencia (70'), Rubio (84')
Lod (34'), Bran (90')
Rosales (56'), Clark (82')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-4
Austin
Padelford (85')
Dotson (54')
Fagundez (35'), Driussi (45' pen., 51'), Rigoni (90+5')
Pereira (81')
Jun 1, 2023 1.30am
rhs 2.0


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