Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer | 2nd Leg
Jun 14, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
San Jose Earthquakes

Portland
vs.
Earthquakes

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Portland Timbers and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 2-1 Colorado
Thursday, May 29 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs
Next Game: Portland vs. St Louis City
Monday, June 9 at 12am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, May 31 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 59.41%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes has a probability of 20.3% and a draw has a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.57%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win is 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.03%).

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
59.41% (0.3 0.3)20.29% (0.013999999999999 0.01)20.3% (-0.316 -0.32)
Both teams to score 61.58% (-0.591 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.05% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)34.96% (0.533 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.06% (-0.598 -0.6)56.94% (0.597 0.6)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)11.55% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.51% (-0.181 -0.18)36.49% (0.179 0.18)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (-0.601 -0.6)30.38% (0.601 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (-0.722 -0.72)66.57% (0.721 0.72)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 59.41%
    San Jose Earthquakes 20.3%
    Draw 20.29%
Portland TimbersDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.166 0.17)
1-0 @ 7.57% (0.178 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.17% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.014 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 59.41%
1-1 @ 9.03% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.095 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.29%
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.18% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 20.3%

Head to Head
May 4, 2025 3.30am
Earthquakes
4-1
Portland
Espinoza (16', 24'), Arango (27'), Bouda (88')
Harkes (38'), Munie (40'), Romney (55'), Costa (90+4')
Mora (42')
Miller (90+2')
Jun 20, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-2
Portland
Marie (50')
Evander (22'), Rodriguez (72')
Bravo (48'), Evander (76'), Fogaca (87'), Moreno (89'), Miller (90+4')
May 16, 2024 3.30am
Portland
4-2
Earthquakes
Evander (74' pen.), Rodriguez (80', 90+10'), Mora (90' pen.)
Miller (82')
Pellegrino (31'), Lopez (34')
Yarbrough (89')
Wilson (71')
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Earthquakes
Paredes (45+3'), Evander (58')
Paredes (41'), Bingham (90+8')
Hoppe (60')
Marie (32'), Gruezo (35'), Espinoza (90+2')
Jun 18, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-0
Portland
Cowell (51'), Marie (54'), Thompson (90+1')
Moreno (18'), Zuparic (44'), Miller (64')