MX23RW : Thursday, March 27 19:23:53| >> :60:36:36:
Atlanta United
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
Mar 29, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New York City

Atlanta
vs.
NY City

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Atlanta United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta
Saturday, March 22 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 NY City
Saturday, March 22 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We say: Atlanta United 3-1 New York City FC

 The Pigeons hung on by the skin of their teeth last week, but they might find it more difficult to contain an in-form striker like Latte Lath, and Almiron likely back in the fold as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 29.64% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.73%).

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York City FC
46.9% (-0.511 -0.51) 23.46% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 29.64% (0.456 0.46)
Both teams to score 60.77% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.33% (0.028000000000006 0.03)40.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.95% (0.029000000000003 0.03)63.05% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (-0.187 -0.19)17.61% (0.185 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81% (-0.325 -0.33)48.19% (0.32100000000001 0.32)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (0.31400000000001 0.31)26.24% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (0.42100000000001 0.42)61.35% (-0.422 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 46.9%
    New York City FC 29.64%
    Draw 23.45%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 10.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.2% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 29.64%

Who will win Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Atlanta and NY City?

Atlanta United
Draw
New York City FC
Atlanta United
100%
Draw
0.0%
New York City FC
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta
2-2
NY City
Rios (1'), Lobzhanidze (38')
Muyumba (61'), Lennon (86'), Brennan (90+5')
Bakrar (65'), Magno (82' pen.)
Haak (77')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2024 12.30am
NY City
1-1
Atlanta
Rodriguez (43' pen.)
Sands (15'), Gray (50'), Parks (74')
Thiare (65')
Williams (61')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
2-2
NY City
Wolff (11'), Firmino (90+5')
Cobb (22'), Gutman (75')
Pereira (1', 56')
Cufre (70'), Pellegrini (81'), Rodriguez (86')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-1
Atlanta
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Atlanta
1-2
NY City
Gutman (67')
Pereira (9'), Heber (60')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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11Brentford29125125045541
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14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
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