Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Dec 1, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
2 - 2
Lille

Sylla (45+2'), Nordin (90+3')
Maksimovic (9'), Gasset (10'), Tchato (35'), Savanier (52'), Sagnan (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

David (44' pen., 54' pen.)
Mukau (26'), Alexsandro (47'), Cabella (52'), Fernandez Pardo (89'), Arnar Haraldsson (90+13')
Bakker (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: St Etienne 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, November 23 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Bologna 1-2 Lille
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
21.58% ( -0.29)	23.73% ( 0.62)	54.69% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 51.78% (

-2.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19% (

-2.97)

48.81% (

2.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09% (

-2.76)

70.91% (

2.75)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.94% (

-1.95)

37.06% (

1.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.15% (

-1.99)

73.84% (

1.98)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.27% (

-1.21)

17.73% (

1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.6% (

-2.12)

48.39% (

2.11)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 21.58%

Lille 54.68%

Draw 23.72%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.7% Total : 21.58%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.92) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.55% Total : 54.68%