Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
