Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
