Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
