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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
51.83% | 25.24% | 22.93% |
Both teams to score 48.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.57% | 53.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.04% | 74.96% |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.38% | 20.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.82% | 53.17% |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.64% | 38.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.89% | 75.11% |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 12.48% 2-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.55% Total : 51.83% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.58% 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 61 |
2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 18 | 29 | 58 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 54 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 50 |
6 | Barnsley | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 46 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 41 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Portsmouth | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Bristol Rovers | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Port Vale | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 36 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 35 |
15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 34 |
16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 29 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Morecambe | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 27 |
20 | MK Dons | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
22 | Burton Albion | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 25 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 25 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 55 | -31 | 21 |
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