Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Rotherham United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rotherham United.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 34.08% | 28.18% | 37.75% |
| Both teams to score 47.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41% | 58.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.53% | 79.46% |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% | 32.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.98% | 69.01% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% | 30.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.69% | 66.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 11.74% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 38 |
| 8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 35 |
| 9 | Port Vale | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Portsmouth | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 31 |
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
| 14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 29 |
| 15 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 29 |
| 16 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 29 |
| 17 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 28 |
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 28 |
| 19 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 24 |
| 20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 24 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 22 |
| 22 | Burton Albion | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 22 |
| 23 | MK Dons | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 20 |
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