Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 37.44% | 27.92% | 34.65% |
| Both teams to score 47.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.01% | 57.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.32% | 78.68% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% | 29.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.07% | 65.94% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% | 31.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32% | 68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.43% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 8 | 37 | 59 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 18 | 29 | 52 |
| 3 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 42 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 40 |
| 6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 33 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 32 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 | GironaGirona | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 27 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 25 |
| 15 | Almeria | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 25 |
| 16 | CadizCadiz | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 33 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Valencia | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 23 |
| 19 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 22 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 48 | -31 | 9 |
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