Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a win it was 0-1 (9%).
| Result | ||
| Draw | ||
| 47.7% | 27.07% | 25.24% |
| Both teams to score 46.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.72% | 58.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.09% | 78.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% | 24.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.05% | 58.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% | 38.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.34% | 75.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Draw | ||
| 1-0 @ 13.41% 2-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.36% Total : 47.69% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 9.54% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 5.97% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 31 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 28 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Valencia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Almeria | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | Getafe | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | GironaGirona | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 9 |
| 19 | CadizCadiz | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 7 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 4 |
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