

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.57%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Cadiz |
| 69.81% | 19.64% | 10.55% |
| Both teams to score 39.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.36% | 51.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.57% | 73.43% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.32% | 13.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.11% | 40.89% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.14% | 53.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.81% | 87.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 14.65% 2-0 @ 14.57% 3-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 5.98% 4-0 @ 4.81% 4-1 @ 2.98% 5-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 69.8% | 1-1 @ 9.07% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 2.79% Other @ 0.41% Total : 19.64% | 0-1 @ 4.56% 1-2 @ 2.81% 0-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | GironaGirona | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Valencia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | CadizCadiz | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Real BetisBetis | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | Mallorca | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | AlavesAlaves | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Granada | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Almeria | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 2 |
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