FC Cincinnati
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 29, 2025 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
FC Dallas

Cincinnati
3 - 3
Dallas

Bucha (30', 30'), Denkey (42' pen., 42' pen.), Valenzuela (86', 86')
Powell (2'), Powell (2'), Hadebe (78'), Hadebe (78'), Baird (90+4'), Baird (90+4')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Musa (50', 50'), Julio (68', 68'), Ibeagha (90+2', 90+2')
Farfan (7'), Farfan (7'), da Silva Ferreira (44'), da Silva Ferreira (44'), Musa (62'), Musa (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's MLS Playoffs clash between FC Cincinnati and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Atlanta 4-2 Cincinnati
Monday, May 26 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Dallas

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Dallas
Saturday, May 24 at 8pm in MLS Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawDallas
61.74% (0.104 0.1)20.56% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)17.7% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.66% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53% (0.010999999999996 0.01)40.46% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15% (0.012 0.01)62.84% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39% (0.028999999999996 0.03)12.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.28% (0.068000000000005 0.07)38.71% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)36.31% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)73.09% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 61.74%
    Dallas 17.7%
    Draw 20.56%
FC CincinnatiDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.78% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.51% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 61.74%
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 17.7%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Dallas

FC Cincinnati
91.3%
Draw
8.7%
Dallas
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 1.30am
Dallas
0-1
Cincinnati

Norris (58'), Ibeagha (82')
Orellano (47')
Kubo (18'), Powell (56'), Yedlin (61'), Kelsy (65'), Celentano (88'), Acosta (90+4')
> Preview
Jun 28, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 25
Cincinnati
P-P
Dallas
Sep 1, 2019 1am
Gameweek 34
Dallas
3-1
Cincinnati
Hollingshead (12'), Barrios (49'), Ondrasek (51')
Hedges (37'), Badji (60'), Cannon (62'), Acosta (85')
Ledesma (64' pen.)
Gutman (65'), Ledesma (73')
Manneh (75')