MX23RW : Sunday, October 29 02:39:30| >> :600:106150:106150:
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
LASK
Union SG
2 - 1
LASK
Puertas (84' pen.), Burgess (90+4')
Vanhoutte (80'), Burgess (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Usor (24')
Bello (26'), Zulj (28'), Horvath (90+1'), Talovierov (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union SG and LASK Linz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 4-1 Eupen
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Salzburg 0-1 LASK
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Union SG 1-1 LASK Linz

The pressure is on both teams to come away with a positive result on Thursday as they endeavour to keep their slim hopes of a top-two finish in Group E alive. A victory would do the world of good for either side, but we feel that the spoils may be shared in a closely-fought contest considering that there is little to separate these two clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for LASK Linz had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest LASK Linz win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawLASK Linz
45.4% (1.045 1.05) 24.81% (0.004999999999999 0) 29.79% (-1.058 -1.06)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.592 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.27% (-0.519 -0.52)46.72% (0.50899999999999 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01% (-0.486 -0.49)68.98% (0.477 0.48)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35% (0.248 0.25)20.64% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (0.395 0.4)53.21% (-0.404 -0.4)
LASK Linz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.977 -0.98)29.18% (0.969 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-1.216 -1.22)65.13% (1.208 1.21)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 45.4%
    LASK Linz 29.79%
    Draw 24.8%
Union SGDrawLASK Linz
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.274 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.273 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.085 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.173 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.08 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.4%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.21% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 29.79%

How you voted: Union SG vs LASK

Union SG
71.4%
Draw
22.4%
LASK Linz
6.1%
49
rhs 2.0
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