Coverage of the Europa League Playoffs clash between Basel and CSKA Sofia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
