Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.