Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 49%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roda JC in this match.
