Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
