Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
