Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 53.35%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
