Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 60.39%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 20.43% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.28%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
