Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 12.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 3-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
