Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 5, 2021 at 10pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa
3 - 0
Rosario
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Rosario Central.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 46.96% | 26.28% | 26.76% |
| Both teams to score 49.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
