Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Confianca win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Parnahyba had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Confianca win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Parnahyba win it was 1-0 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Confianca would win this match.