Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 47.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.